Mortgage debt predicted to soar for UK pensioners
The latest analysis by ILC-UK and the Building Societies Association has found that UK pensioners will see their mortgage debt soar to £39.9bn by 2030 - a rise of over £19bn.
According to the report, current economic trends such as house price inflation, tighter credit conditions and low real wage growth will cause a significant shift in the customer base of the mortgage market over the next 13 years.
Since the financial crisis, home ownership amongst 20-29 year olds has fallen from 53% to 38%, and from 73% to 65% for those between 30-39 years old
Today, many first-time buyers are delayed from stepping onto the property ladder by factors including low supply of new homes and higher house prices, greater student debt, persistent low real income growth and challenges in saving for a deposit.
As people get onto the property ladder later in life, ILC-UK research has shown that over 6%, or 1.42 million people aged 35 to 64 will not have paid off their mortgage before retirement given the current term of their loan.
By 2030, the ILC-UK projects that £3.3 trillion or 58% of all housing wealth in the UK will be owned by the over 65s.
Paul Broadhead, Head of Mortgage Policy at The BSA, commented: “The first question for national policy-makers, including government, is whether action should be taken to try and maintain the ‘traditional’ market. In my view the socio-economic changes lenders and consumers are already experiencing are unstoppable. So instead the focus must be on adapting to a changing market. Top priority must be given to radically increasing housing supply across all tenures, including recognising shared ownership as a tenure in its own right.
We must also respond as an industry to reflect the changing needs of customers. This will include an increasingly intergenerational approach to home ownership, as parents and grandparents borrow to release some of their housing wealth to support the younger generation. It is the combination of multiple factors that will drive greater levels of mortgage borrowing in later life.”
Ben Franklin from the International Longevity Centre-UK, added: “The housing market must better adapt to our ageing society, building more homes for all ages across a range of tenures. Over the course of a lifetime, including in retirement, consumers will need to have access to the right mortgage products and advice in order to maximise their long run financial wellbeing. Building societies have made a good start in this regard, but, this is a whole of market challenge that will ultimately need whole of market solutions.”